Labor and Human Resources Business Markets Potentially Transformed by AI

Recruiting, temporary staffing and outplacement service providers focusing on middle-aged and senior workers

Since the advent of generative AI tools, AI usage has grown extensively across industries. As AI technology continues to advance, many white-collar tasks, particularly office work, are expected to be replaced by AI.
This report focuses on the labor shift of middle-aged and senior workers, who comprise the majority of Japan's workforce, and forecasts the impact of these changes on the labor market through fiscal year 2040.
The report forecasts the market size for middle-aged or senior workers by reskilling status through the following four scenarios. The scenarios are: 1) the status quo, 2) AI replacing manpower, 3) an increasing number of essential workers, and 4) an increasing number of AI and essential workers.

I. Human Resources Business Market Forecast for 2025-2040

1. Estimation Method
   1) Outline of this report
   2) Data used for the estimation
   3) Pre-requisites upon estimation and estimation method
   4) Overview of forecasting scenarios:
   - The status quo scenario
   - AI replacing manpower scenario
   - An increasing number of essential workers, and
   - An increasing number of AI and essential workers.
2. Overview of Estimated Results

II. Human Resources Business Market Trends by Scenario

1. The Status Quo Scenario
   1) Transition of the five combined HR business markets under the status quo scenario
   2) The temporary staffing market under the status quo scenario
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the status quo scenario
   4) The outplacement service market under the status quo scenario
   5) The job posting service market under the status quo scenario
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the status quo scenario
2. The Scenario of AI Replacing Manpower
   1) Transition of the five combined HR business markets under the AI replacing manpower scenario
   2) The temporary staffing market under the AI replacing manpower scenario
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the AI replacing manpower scenario
   4) The outplacement service market under the AI replacing manpower scenario
   5) The job posting service market under the AI replacing manpower scenario
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the AI replacing manpower scenario
3. The Scenario of an Increasing Number of Essential Workers
   1) Transition of the five combined HR business markets under the scenario of an increasing number of essential workers
   2) The temporary staffing market under the scenario of an increasing number of essential workers
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the scenario of an increasing number of essential workers
   4) The outplacement service market under the scenario of an increasing number of essential workers
   5) The job posting service market under the scenario of an increasing number of essential workers
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the scenario of an increasing number of essential workers
4.  The Scenario of an Increasing Number of AI and Essential Workers
   1) Transition of the five combined HR business markets under the scenario of an increasing number of AI and essential workers
   2) The temporary staffing market under the scenario of an increasing number of AI and essential workers
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the scenario of an increasing number of AI and essential workers
   4) The outplacement service market under the scenario of an increasing number of AI and essential workers
   5) The job posting service market under the scenario of an increasing number of AI and essential workers
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the scenario of an increasing number of AI and essential workers

III   Company Profiles

• Avanti Staff Corporation
• AGELESS Inc.
• seniorjob Co.,Ltd.
• PASONA MASTERS Co., Ltd.
• K.K. BEYOND AGE
• MYSTAR60 CORP.