Labor and employment services markets potentially transformed by AI

Recruiters for white-collar jobs, temporary staffing agencies, outplacement services, job posting services, and gig work staffing and platform providers that focus on middle-aged and senior workers.

Since the advent of generative AI tools, AI usage has grown extensively across industries. As AI technology continues to advance, many white-collar jobs, particularly office work, are expected to be replaced by AI.
This report focuses on the labor market shift affecting middle-aged and senior workers, who comprise the majority of Japan's workforce, and forecasts the impact of these changes on the labor market through fiscal year 2040.
Four scenarios are provided to forecast the market size for middle-aged and senior workers by reskilling status: 1) Status quo, 2) AI empowerment, 3) AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers, and 4) AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers.

I. Employment Services Market Forecast for 2025-2040

1. Estimation Method
   1) Outline of this report
   2) Data used for the estimation
   3) Pre-requisites upon estimation and estimation method
   4) Overview of forecasting scenarios:
         - The status quo scenario
         - The AI empowerment scenario
         - AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers, and
         - AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers.
2. Overview of Estimated Results

II. Employment Services Market Trends by Scenario

1. The Status Quo Scenario
   1) Transition of the five combined employment services markets under the status quo scenario
   2) The temporary staffing market under the status quo scenario
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the status quo scenario
   4) The outplacement service market under the status quo scenario
   5) The job posting service market under the status quo scenario
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the status quo scenario
2. The AI Empowerment Scenario
   1) Transition of the five combined employment services markets under the AI empowerment scenario
   2) The temporary staffing market under the AI empowerment scenario
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the AI empowerment scenario
   4) The outplacement service market under the AI empowerment scenario
   5) The job posting service market under the AI empowerment scenario
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the AI empowerment scenario
3. The Scenario of AI Empowerment Fueling the Supply of Essential Workers
   1) Transition of the five combined employment services markets under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers
   2) The temporary staffing market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers
   4) The outplacement service market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers
   5) The job posting service market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of essential workers
4. The Scenario of AI Empowerment Fueling the Supply of AI Enablers and Essential Workers
   1) Transition of the five combined employment services markets under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers
   2) The temporary staffing market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers
   3) The white-collar recruiting market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers
   4) The outplacement service market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers
   5) The job posting service market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers
   6) The gig work staffing and platform market under the scenario of AI empowerment fueling the supply of AI enablers and essential workers

III   Company Profiles

• Avanti Staff Corporation
• AGELESS Inc.
• seniorjob Co.,Ltd.
• PASONA MASTERS Co., Ltd.
• K.K. BEYOND AGE
• MYSTAR60 CORP.